ARTICLE

REAL PRIVATE AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION DETERMINANTS IN BANGLADESH

09 Pages : 103-111

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/ger.2022(VII-II).09      10.31703/ger.2022(VII-II).09      Published : Jun 2022

Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh

    The study analyses the factors affecting Bangladesh's real private aggregate consumption (RPAC). The Auto regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) model has been used to achieve the study's objective by considering the time series data from 1980 to 2021. The study's findings show that, in the case of Bangladesh, wealth and Gross Domestic Product (GDP effects on RPAC are quite similar. Nevertheless,the effect of GDP is vital in the short run, while wealth is prominent in the long run. However, the real interest and unemployment rates have had the same results. The long-term outcomes showed a negative influence of real interest rates on RPAC as a sign of an impact on income.The current income, real interest, and unemployment rates are expected to play a key role in determining the Bangladesh RPAC in the short run.

    Unemployment Rate, Autoregressive Distributed lag Model (ARDL) and Real Private Aggregate Consumption
    (1) Imran Khan
    PhD Scholar, Department of Economics, Lasbela University of Agriculture, Water and Marine Sciences (LUAWMS), Uthal, Balochistan, Pakistan
    (2) Sara Rafiq
    Chairperson/ Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of Buner, Buner, KP, Pakistan
    (3) Khalid Khan
    Department of Economics, Lasbela University of Agriculture, Water and Marine Sciences (LUAWMS), Uthal, Balochistan, Pakistan.
  • Ahmed, N., Liaqat, S., Yousaf, H., Rasheed, B., & Khan, K. (2020). An Assessment of the Consumption Function for Iran. European Online Journal of Natural and Social Sciences, 9(2), 351-358. https://european-science.com/eojnss/article/view/5944/pdf
  • Ahmed, M., Khan, K., Lodhi, A. S., & Memon, M. H. (2017). Estimation of aggregate consumption function for high income countries. Pakistan Business Review, 19(1), 24-45.
  • Campbell, J. Y., & Mankiw, N. G. (1990). Permanent Income, Current Income, and Consumption. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 8(3), 265. https://doi.org/10.2307/1391964
  • e Juan, J. P., & Seater, J. J. (1997). A Cross- country Test of the Permanent Income Hypothesis. International Review of Applied Economics, 11(3), 451–468. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692179700000029
  • Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co- Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
  • Friedman, M. (1947 ). A Theory of the Consumption Function, Princeton: Princeton University press 1956.
  • Hsieh, W. J., & HSING, Y. (1994). TESTS OF NONLINEAR CONSUMPTION FUNCTIONS: THE CASE OF KOREA, TAIWAN, THAILAND AND INDIA. International Economic Journal, 8(2), 71– 81. https://doi.org/10.1080/10168739400080014
  • Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (2009). Maximum Likelihood Estimation And Inference On Cointegration - With Applications To The Demand For Money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x
  • Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of co- integration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2–3), 231–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(88)90041-3
  • Johansen, S. (1996), "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models", Econometrica; 59(6): 1551- 1580.
  • Keynes, J.M., (1936) The Genera Theory of Employment Interest and Money, London Macmillan, 1936.
  • Lunfang, D., Khan, K., Khan, I., & Khan, N. H. (2018). Testing the empirical validity of permanent income hypothesis and absolute income hypothesis for China. The Empirical Economics Letters, 17(4), 453-460.
  • Liaqat, S., Khan, K., & Bunnika, P. (2016). China’s Consumption Function: An Empirical Test of Absolute and Permanent Income Hypothesis. Global Economics Review, III(I), 90–97. https://doi.org/10.31703/ger.2018(iii-i).10
  • Liaqat, S., Wotto, M., & Khan, K. (2020). Estimation of Consumption Function for Developing Economies: China, Turkey, Vietnam and Bangladesh. I, V(I), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.31703/ger.2020(v-i).01
  • Khan, K., Wotto, M., & Liaqat, S. (2020). AN ESSAY ON CONSUMPTION HYPOTHESES: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research, 3(01), 23–32. https://doi.org/10.37605/pjhssr.3.1.4
  • Khan, K., & Nishat, M. (2011). Permanent income hypothesis, myopia and liquidity constraints: A case study of Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences (PJSS), 31(2), 299-307.
  • Khan, K., & Che, M. H. M. (2012). The Testing of Hall's Permanent Income Hypothesis: A Case Study of Vietnam. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2(4), 518.
  • Khan, K., Anwar, S., Ahmed, M., & Kamal, M. A. (2015). Estimation of consumption functions: the case of Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Pakistan Business Review, 17(1), 113-124.
  • Khoon, L. G. & Richard, D., (2002) “ Modeling New Zealand Consumption Expenditure over the 1990s,” New Zealand Treasury, Working Paper 02/19
  • Kuznets, S. (1946). National product since 1869 (assisted by L. Epsteion and E. Zanks), New York, National Bureau of economics research.
  • Lavi, Y. (2003) .“Do Changes in Current Income Help to Explain Changes in Consumption in Israel,” Journal of Israel Economics Review, 2, 113-135
  • Modigliani, F. & Brumbergh, R.(1954). “Utility Analysis and The Consumption,” Economics Journal, 88, 661-692.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
  • Pesaran, H. M., & Shin, Y. (1999). Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis,Chapter 11, in Storm, S., (ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th. Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
  • Rao, B. B. (2005). Testing Hall’s permanent income hypothesis for a developing country: the case of Fiji. Applied Economics Letters, 12(4), 245–248. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350485052000337798
  • Shea, J. (1995). Myopia, Liquidity Constraints, and Aggregate Consumption: A Simple Test. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27(3), 798. https://doi.org/10.2307/2077751
  • Shirvani, H., & Wilbratte, B. (2008). The permanent income hypothesis in five major industrial countries: a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition test. Journal of Economics and Finance, 33(1), 43–59. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-008-9053-3

Cite this article

    CHICAGO : Khan, Imran, Sara Rafiq, and Khalid Khan. 2022. "Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh." Global Economics Review, VII (II): 103-111 doi: 10.31703/ger.2022(VII-II).09
    HARVARD : KHAN, I., RAFIQ, S. & KHAN, K. 2022. Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh. Global Economics Review, VII, 103-111.
    MHRA : Khan, Imran, Sara Rafiq, and Khalid Khan. 2022. "Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh." Global Economics Review, VII: 103-111
    MLA : Khan, Imran, Sara Rafiq, and Khalid Khan. "Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh." Global Economics Review, VII.II (2022): 103-111 Print.
    OXFORD : Khan, Imran, Rafiq, Sara, and Khan, Khalid (2022), "Real Private Aggregate Consumption Determinants in Bangladesh", Global Economics Review, VII (II), 103-111